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Hyperinflation or Raising Interest Rates?

There has been ongoing uncertainty about whether the federal reserve would use monetary policy to create one or more of following outcomes to deal with the financial crisis:

1) Allow Hyperinflation – as the fed continues to expand the money supply, long term treasury auctions fail to receive buyers (eg. foreign investors don’t trust they’ll be paid back in non devalued dollars), inflation would naturally occur. 

OR

2) The Federal Reserve will Increase Interest rates (called the "overnight rate") – this will be used to as an indirect means to restrict money supply.  Specifically, banks will receive "increasingly expensive" money and will likely cut off many high risk borrowers/restrict borrowing to only the best candidates.  

The Federal Reserve via Ben Bernanke provides an argument for a slower policy to protect consumers while indicating his preference for option 2):

 

 

Either way, private banks have phenomenal power to shift policy, despite the Fed’s decisions.  In particular, the massive Credit Default Swap market will change the landscape of world economics.  "The value of the credit default insurance market is now much larger than the domestic stock market, mortgage securities market and United States Treasuries market" (source).

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Social Networks

More Statistics From Facebook

Statistics

General Growth
  • More than 57 million active users
  • An average of 250,000 new registrations per day since Jan. 2007
  • An average of 3% weekly growth since Jan. 2007
  • Active users doubling every 6 months
User Demographics
  • Over 55,000 regional, work-related, collegiate, and high school networks
  • More than half of Facebook users are outside of college
  • The fastest growing demographic is those 25 years old and older
  • Maintain 85 percent market share of 4-year U.S. universities
User Engagement
  • Sixth-most trafficked site in the United States (comScore)
  • More than 65 billion page views per month
  • More than half of active users return daily
  • People spend an average of 20 minutes on the site daily (comScore)
Applications
  • No. 1 photo sharing application on the Web (comScore)
  • Photo application draws more than twice as much traffic as the next three sites combined (comScore)
  • More than 14 million photos uploaded daily
  • More than 6 million active user groups on the site
International Growth
  • Canada has the most users outside of the United States, with more than 7 million active users
  • The U.K. is the third largest country with more than 7 million active users
  • Remaining top 10 countries in order of active users (outside of the U.S., Canada and UK): Australia, Turkey, Sweden, Norway, South Africa, France, Hong Kong
Platform
  • Over 7,000 applications have been built on Facebook Platform
  • 100 new applications added per day
  • More than 80% of Facebook members have used at least one application built on Facebook Platform
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Social Networks

Fresh Facebook Statistics From September 2007

The following are fresh facebook facts acquired from my friend who works in Facebook’s Canadian marketing:

 

Audience:
• Over 47 million active users monthly.
• 19% have college as their primary network.
• 25% have geography as their primary network.
• 12% have high school as their primary network.
• 1% have work as their primary network.

Engagement:
•57 billion total page views per month (#6 among all sites).*
•50% of active users return every day.
•2.4 average visits per visitor per day, 22 visits per month.*
•21 minutes per visitor per day, 192.5 minutes per month.

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Social Networks

OpenSocial – Google’s New Facebook Killer?

OpenSocial is a set of three common APIs, defined by Google with input from partners, that allow developers to access core functions and information at social networks:

  • Profile Information (user data)
  • Friends Information (social graph)
  • Activities (things that happen, News Feed type stuff)"

Read This Tech Crunch Article About New Facebook Killer Called OpenSocial